Sydney (K) 3-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.0
Over 2.5
40%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.3pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.30
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +99%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
18.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 207
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 0-3 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
16.02.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
21.12.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
3-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
3.40 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
28 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
310 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
48 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) got the better of Perth Glory (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 52% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 48%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 3.40 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.67 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Sydney (K) 3-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 68%, draw 17%, Perth Glory (K) 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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