Western United (K) 2-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
2-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.89 xG 1.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
201 Passes 310
61% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) squeezed past Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Western United (K) had 43% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 57%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.89 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Western United (K) 2-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 46%, draw 30%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
3 Feb 2024
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