Adelaide United (K) 2-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Feb 2024

Adelaide United (K)
2-1 HT 0-1
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+106% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.63 xG 3.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
284 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 2-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2-1
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.22 xG 1.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) edged past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was W. Sydney Wanderers (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 59% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 41%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.22 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 3.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 2-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 31%, draw 26%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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