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Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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3-1
HT 2-1
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Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
1-2
HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
2-3
HT 1-0
Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
1-2
HT 1-2
Adelaide United (K)
AVUSTW
Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets (K) and Adelaide United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 55% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 45%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 1.56 to 1.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.50 for Adelaide United (K).
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 41%, draw 21%, Adelaide United (K) 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.