Adelaide United (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Dec 2024

Adelaide United (K)
2-0 HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
1.72 xG 1.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
311 Passes 246
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-8 HT 0-3 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2023 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.79 xG 1.87
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
136 Passes 267
57% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 44
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) beat Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide United (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 38% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.79 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 3.20 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 43%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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