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Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 49% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 51%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.99 to 1.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brisbane Roar (K).
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 28%, draw 25%, Brisbane Roar (K) 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.