Western United (K) 2-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
Crosses 14.7
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sydney (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
313 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
14.01.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
2-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.19 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
293 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) nicked a narrow win over Sydney (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Western United (K) had 49% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 51%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.19 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Western United (K) and 2.00 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Western United (K) 2-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 31%, draw 22%, Sydney (K) 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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