Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) found just enough to beat Perth Glory (K) 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Perth Glory (K) had 43% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne Victory (K).
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score
Perth Glory (K) 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 17%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory (K) 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.