Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Australia - W-League, 12 Jan 2024

Melbourne Victory (K) L→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Perth Glory (K) L→
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.6
Draw
22%
3.95
Away
18%
4.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.17
OverVIEW
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Melbourne Victory (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) The Market 62%
Signal
AWAY Perth Glory (K) The Market 23%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Bad Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Great
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16 Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards –

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
267 Passes 274
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
19.11.2017 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
1 - 1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.30 xG 0.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
420 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Melbourne Victory (K) and Perth Glory (K) with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melbourne Victory (K) at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Melbourne Victory (K)'s favour, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.35.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.80 a game for Melbourne Victory (K) against 2.00 for Perth Glory (K).

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Result & Final Score

Melbourne Victory (K) 1 - 1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 60%, draw 21%, Perth Glory (K) 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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