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Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Central Coast Mariners (K) nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 58% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 42%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.37 to 1.40.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 42%, draw 30%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.