FC Nantes (K) 2-1 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
Crosses 9.3
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nantes (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guingamp (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.05 xG 0.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
373 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nantes (K)
2-1
AWAY Guingamp (K)
1.42 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
374 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Nantes (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) squeezed past Guingamp (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nantes (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nantes (K) had 51% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.08.

What was the final score of FC Nantes (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

FC Nantes (K) 2-1 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nantes (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FC Nantes (K) 64%, draw 18%, Guingamp (K) 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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