Strasbourg (K) 1-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Strasbourg (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.70/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.77
-50% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
12.7 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Strasbourg (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.61 xG 0.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
314 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Strasbourg (K) Strasbourg (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Strasbourg (K)
1-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.67 xG 2.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
186 Passes 343
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Strasbourg (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) squeezed past Strasbourg (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Strasbourg (K) had 40% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 60%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.67 to 2.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montpellier (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Strasbourg (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Strasbourg (K) 1-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Strasbourg (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Strasbourg (K) 25%, draw 33%, Montpellier (K) 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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