Galatasaray 2-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 8 Jan 2025

Galatasaray
2-2 HT 0-1
Başakşehir FK
📅08/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
22%
4.42
X/2
12%
8.76
X/X
11%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.55
2/2
8%
6.04
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galatasaray v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.05/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.23
+3% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
05.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
12.11.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-7 HT 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.05.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Galatasaray 2-2 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray and Başakşehir FK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Galatasaray at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 66% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 34%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Galatasaray and 0.67 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK?

Galatasaray 2-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Cup on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 51%, draw 24%, Başakşehir FK 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galatasaray) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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