Galatasaray 2-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.63
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.56
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.45
X/1
17%
3.63
X/2
8%
16.25
X/X
12%
7.91
2/1
8%
19.85
2/2
7%
11.55
2/X
5%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
2.42/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.87
+8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.8 Crosses 10.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
05.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
12.11.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-7 HT 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.05.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
18.12.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.36 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray saw off Başakşehir FK 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galatasaray had 53% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 47%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Galatasaray and 0.83 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK?

Galatasaray 2-0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 55%, draw 23%, Başakşehir FK 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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