Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.52
X/2
8%
7.13
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.15
2/2
13%
5.12
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.70
+58% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.4 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.09 xG 1.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
436 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
04.11.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-K
16.12.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
26.02.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
15.10.2016 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
21.12.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2-0
AWAY Pendikspor
1.59 xG 0.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
336 Passes 218
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük got the better of Pendikspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 56% of the ball to Pendikspor's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.83 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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