Shire Endaselassie 0-1 Negele Arsi Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 55%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shire Endaselassie
0-1
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema edged past Shire Endaselassie 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Negele Arsi Ketema as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Shire Endaselassie had 53% of the ball to Negele Arsi Ketema's 47%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Shire Endaselassie 0-1 Negele Arsi Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shire Endaselassie 22%, draw 24%, Negele Arsi Ketema 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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