Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.51
No
72%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
28%
BTTS Yes
36%
-7.8pp
72%
BTTS No
64%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.24/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.82
-72% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Adama City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2025 Adama City Adama City 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
05.01.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-3 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Adama City
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Adama City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (76%) landed while no to both teams scoring (72%) missed.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 41% of the ball to Adama City's 59%, shots finished 3-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adama City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 2.00 for Adama City.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama City?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adama City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 26%, draw 36%, Adama City 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Adama City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adama City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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