Najma 3-4 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 8 Jan 2026

Najma
3-4 HT 0-3
Al Ettifaq
📅08/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Najma vs Al Ettifaq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
57%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.75
Over 2.5
59%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.85
No
40%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 24% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
57%
Away Win
50%
+6.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
53%
-12.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
47%
+12.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
50%
+10.4pp
40%
BTTS No
50%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Najma v Al Ettifaq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 55%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.73
-21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
12.0 Crosses 24.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8

Najma 3-4 Al Ettifaq — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
3-4
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.56 xG 2.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
460 Passes 407
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Najma vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq squeezed past Najma 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ettifaq as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Najma had 52% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 48%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.56 to 2.49.

What was the final score of Najma vs Al Ettifaq?

Najma 3-4 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Najma 18%, draw 25%, Al Ettifaq 57%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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