Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-0
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah nicked a narrow win over Al Nassr 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nassr at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Al Nassr had 55% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 45%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.68 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Nassr.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Al-Qadsiah.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 62%, draw 21%, Al-Qadsiah 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.