Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-0
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-1
HT 0-1
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-2
HT 2-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah edged past Al Nassr 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Al Nassr had 66% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 34%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.22 to 1.29 — on chances, Al Nassr could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Al-Qadsiah.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al Nassr 1-2 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al-Qadsiah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 48%, draw 27%, Al-Qadsiah 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No went the other way.