Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
0.77/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
14.9 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.63
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
207 Passes 562
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
14.08.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.94 xG 0.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
222 Passes 506
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Al Shabab Riyadh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 34% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.94 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Akhdoud and 0.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 36%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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