Al Fayha 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
0.91/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.00
-51% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
15.1 Crosses 22.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.84
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
258 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
14.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-4 HT 0-4 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
17.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
23.09.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
06.03.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.01.2020 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.00 xG 2.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
0 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
267 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah squeezed past Al Fayha 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Fayha had 40% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 60%, shots finished 0-16, expected goals 0.00 to 2.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli Jeddah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Fayha and 1.33 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Fayha 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 25%, draw 22%, Al Ahli Jeddah 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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