Bangu 1-1 Volta Redonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.61/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.97
-58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangu
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Volta Redonda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Bangu Bangu 0-4 HT 0-3 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRC1
02.02.2022 Bangu Bangu 1-1 HT 0-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRC1
18.04.2021 Bangu Bangu 1-1 HT 1-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangu
1-1
AWAY Volta Redonda
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Bangu vs Volta Redonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangu and Volta Redonda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bangu had 41% of the ball to Volta Redonda's 59%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Volta Redonda led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bangu and 2.00 for Volta Redonda.

What was the final score of Bangu vs Volta Redonda?

Bangu 1-1 Volta Redonda in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangu vs Volta Redonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bangu 40%, draw 26%, Volta Redonda 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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8 Feb 2024
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