Flamengo 1-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.64/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.16
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Botafogo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
425 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
30.04.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-3 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
26.02.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRC1
29.08.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
08.05.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
24.02.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 1-3 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-0
AWAY Botafogo
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Botafogo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Flamengo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Flamengo had 55% of the ball to Botafogo's 45%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Flamengo 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 37%, draw 30%, Botafogo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRC1 More Brazil - Carioca 1
8 Feb 2024
00:30 Bangu vs Volta Redonda Analysis →