Arjantin U23 3-3 Paraguay U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin U23 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paraguay U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.98 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
379 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Arjantin U23 Arjantin U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay U23 Paraguay U23 COE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin U23
3-3
AWAY Paraguay U23
3.34 xG 0.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
374 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U23 and Paraguay U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Arjantin U23 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arjantin U23 had 62% of the ball to Paraguay U23's 38%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 3.34 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Arjantin U23 3-3 Paraguay U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arjantin U23 55%, draw 23%, Paraguay U23 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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