KuPS Kuopio 5-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2024

KuPS Kuopio
5-0 HT 3-0
VPS
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KuPS Kuopio v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 29%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.55/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.40
-60% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VPS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
425 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
08.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
11.06.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
25.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
11.09.2022 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
29.04.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN

KuPS Kuopio 5-0 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
5-0
AWAY VPS
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio cruised past VPS 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 56% of the ball to VPS's 44%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

KuPS Kuopio 5-0 VPS in the Finland - League Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 44%, draw 22%, VPS 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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