Oulu 0-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.92 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
368 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
23.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
19.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
05.05.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
28.01.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
16.10.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 8
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past Oulu 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oulu had 40% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 60%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oulu and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Oulu 0-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oulu 29%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5
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