Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 2-0
Envigado
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
Envigado 1-2 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera edged past Envigado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Alianza Petrolera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Envigado had 60% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 40%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 1.97 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Envigado.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Envigado and 1.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera?
Envigado 1-2 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Envigado 40%, draw 31%, Alianza Petrolera 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.