Millonarios vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millonarios v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Millonarios vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Millonarios
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
America de Cali
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Millonarios
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
America de Cali
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millonarios
KOL
4-3
HT 2-1
America de Cali
KOL
Millonarios 1-0 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Millonarios squeezed past America de Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Millonarios had 55% of the ball to America de Cali's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.64 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Millonarios's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millonarios and 1.17 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Millonarios vs America de Cali?
Millonarios 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millonarios vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 43%, draw 29%, America de Cali 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.