Vizela 1-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 8 Feb 2024

Vizela
1-2 HT 0-1
Benfica
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2023/2024

Vizela vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
18.3
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
6%
24.6
X/1
6%
24.15
X/2
18%
3.45
X/X
8%
8.86
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
33%
1.38
2/X
6%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
8%
+14.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
58%
Away Win
77%
-18.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 81%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.06/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.53
+54% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.5
– Crosses 25.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vizela vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 2.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
251 Passes 539
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
25.02.2023 Vizela Vizela 0-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
02.09.2022 Benfica Benfica 2-1 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR
11.03.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
24.10.2021 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
23.11.2019 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 1-0 Benfica Benfica POK

Vizela 1-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-2
AWAY Benfica
0.70 xG 1.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
320 Passes 457
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 41
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica nicked a narrow win over Vizela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela had 43% of the ball to Benfica's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.70 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vizela and 1.67 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Benfica?

Vizela 1-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vizela 22%, draw 20%, Benfica 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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