Radcliffe Borough 4-1 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.58/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.54
+13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Southport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Southport Southport 2-2 HT 0-2 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
4-1
AWAY Southport
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough cruised past Southport 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Radcliffe Borough found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 48% of the ball to Southport's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Southport?

Radcliffe Borough 4-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 37%, draw 27%, Southport 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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