Southport 2-2 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.61
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 31% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.3pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
2-2
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport and Radcliffe Borough shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southport had 50% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 50%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Southport vs Radcliffe Borough?

Southport 2-2 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 40%, draw 27%, Radcliffe Borough 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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