Chester 1-0 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 33% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.29
-3% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-0D-1L
AWAY South Shields
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
25.11.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-0
AWAY South Shields
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester nicked a narrow win over South Shields 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 51% of the ball to South Shields's 49%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chester and 0.50 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Chester vs South Shields?

Chester 1-0 South Shields in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chester 47%, draw 28%, South Shields 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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