Chester 0-1 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.59/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.09
-5% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-0D-0L
AWAY South Shields
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.11.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
0-1
AWAY South Shields
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields edged past Chester 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 61% of the ball to South Shields's 39%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Chester vs South Shields?

Chester 0-1 South Shields in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chester 50%, draw 26%, South Shields 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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