Spennymoor Town 3-0 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
2.23/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.70
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gloucester City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Gloucester City Gloucester City 4-2 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.02.2023 Gloucester City Gloucester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
05.11.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
26.02.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
04.12.2021 Gloucester City Gloucester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
01.02.2020 Gloucester City Gloucester City 1-2 HT 0-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
3-0
AWAY Gloucester City
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town swept aside Gloucester City 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 53% of the ball to Gloucester City's 47%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gloucester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.50 for Gloucester City.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Gloucester City?

Spennymoor Town 3-0 Gloucester City in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 45%, draw 25%, Gloucester City 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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