Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Mar 2024

Taunton Town
2-3 HT 2-1
Chelmsford City
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Taunton Town vs Chelmsford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-15.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taunton Town v Chelmsford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 57%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.32
+26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0

Taunton Town vs Chelmsford City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taunton Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
29.04.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-1 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
24.09.2022 Taunton Town Taunton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Taunton Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City edged past Taunton Town 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chelmsford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Taunton Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Taunton Town and 0.33 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Chelmsford City?

Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 31%, draw 30%, Chelmsford City 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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