Ilkeston Town 1-0 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.17
+50% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Workington
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 Workington Workington 2-1 HT 2-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Workington Workington 4-1 HT 1-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 6-1 HT 2-1 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town nicked a narrow win over Workington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Workington led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.33 for Workington.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Workington?

Ilkeston Town 1-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 50%, draw 27%, Workington 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
8 Feb 2025
18:00 Prescot Cables vs Guiseley Analysis →
18:00 Redditch United vs St Ives Town Analysis →
18:00 Bishops Stortford vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
18:00 Kettering Town vs Barwell Analysis →
18:00 Bedford Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
18:00 Biggleswade Town vs Stourbridge Analysis →