Workington 2-1 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.47
+34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Workington Workington 4-1 HT 1-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 6-1 HT 2-1 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Workington found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Workington and 3.50 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Workington vs Ilkeston Town?

Workington 2-1 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Workington 37%, draw 28%, Ilkeston Town 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Workington), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Workington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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