CD Guadalajara 1-0 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.78/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
+49% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
24.02.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
14.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
19.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
30.10.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-4 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
08.12.2013 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 4-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
1-0
AWAY Cacereno
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara squeezed past Cacereno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 53% of the ball to Cacereno's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.83 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

CD Guadalajara 1-0 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 41%, draw 30%, Cacereno 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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