CD Guadalajara 0-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.2pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.32
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cacereno
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
19.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
30.10.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-4 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
08.12.2013 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 4-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
0-2
AWAY Cacereno
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno saw off CD Guadalajara 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Cacereno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 57% of the ball to Cacereno's 43%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.75 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

CD Guadalajara 0-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 37%, draw 30%, Cacereno 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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