Mutilvera 1-2 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 61%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.58/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.67
-36% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
188 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 45.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mutilvera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 3-0 HT 2-0 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mutilvera
1-2
AWAY UD Logrones
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mutilvera vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones nicked a narrow win over Mutilvera 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mutilvera had 44% of the ball to UD Logrones's 56%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Mutilvera vs UD Logrones?

Mutilvera 1-2 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mutilvera vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mutilvera 25%, draw 28%, UD Logrones 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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