Formentera 3-1 Manresa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Formentera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Manresa EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.46/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.29
+16% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
237 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Formentera
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Manresa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Manresa Manresa 3-0 HT 1-0 Formentera Formentera İS4
05.02.2023 Manresa Manresa 1-1 HT 0-0 Formentera Formentera İS4
18.09.2022 Formentera Formentera 1-1 HT 0-0 Manresa Manresa İS4
POST-MATCH Formentera vs Manresa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Formentera got the better of Manresa 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Formentera as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manresa led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Formentera and 1.67 for Manresa.

What was the final score of Formentera vs Manresa?

Formentera 3-1 Manresa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Formentera vs Manresa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Formentera win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Formentera 53%, draw 23%, Manresa 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Formentera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Formentera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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