Caldiero Terme 0-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 40% vs market 36.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.7pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.66/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.21
+44% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pergolettese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-2 HT 3-0 Caldiero Terme İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
0-1
AWAY Pergolettese
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese squeezed past Caldiero Terme 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 57% of the ball to Pergolettese's 43%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Pergolettese?

Caldiero Terme 0-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 31%, draw 34%, Pergolettese 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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