Pergolettese 3-2 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.8
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
3-2
AWAY Caldiero Terme
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese edged past Caldiero Terme 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 38% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 62%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Caldiero Terme?

Pergolettese 3-2 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 39%, draw 28%, Caldiero Terme 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pergolettese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
30 Sep 2024
21:30 Picerno vs ACR Messina Analysis →
21:45 Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
21:45 Lucchese vs Milan II Analysis →
21:45 Vis Pesaro vs Perugia Analysis →
21:45 Pescara vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
21:45 Benevento vs Juventus II Analysis →