Pescara 2-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.34
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara squeezed past Athletic Carpi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pescara had 52% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 48%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Athletic Carpi?

Pescara 2-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pescara 47%, draw 29%, Athletic Carpi 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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