Benevento 4-1 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.1pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
2.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
4-1
AWAY Juventus II
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento cruised past Juventus II 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benevento had 53% of the ball to Juventus II's 47%, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Juventus II?

Benevento 4-1 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Benevento 51%, draw 27%, Juventus II 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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