Lumezzane 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.29
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.13/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.94
-7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
07.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
24.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane squeezed past Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 48% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 52%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lumezzane and 1.67 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Lumezzane 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 32%, draw 27%, Arzignano Valchiampo 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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