Lumezzane 2-2 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.1pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.73
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
24.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
2-2
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Arzignano Valchiampo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 49% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 51%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lumezzane and 1.50 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Lumezzane 2-2 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 31%, draw 34%, Arzignano Valchiampo 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5
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