Pergolettese vs Alessandria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pergolettese v Alessandria — Team-Based Signals
Pergolettese vs Alessandria Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTC
2-0
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTCK
1-0
HT 1-0
Pergolettese
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Alessandria
İTC
2-1
HT 1-1
Alessandria
İTC
Pergolettese 0-1 Alessandria — Actual Match Statistics
Alessandria squeezed past Pergolettese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Alessandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Pergolettese had 48% of the ball to Alessandria's 52%, shots finished 11-20.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alessandria led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Pergolettese and 1.60 for Alessandria.
What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Alessandria?
Pergolettese 0-1 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Alessandria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 39%, draw 31%, Alessandria 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pergolettese) went the other way.