Cesena 4-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.0pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.03/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.52
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
06.08.2023 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTK
14.03.2023 Cesena Cesena 4-0 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
14.11.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
03.04.2022 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
28.11.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
4-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena cruised past Virtus Entella 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Cesena had 53% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 47%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cesena and 0.83 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Virtus Entella?

Cesena 4-0 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cesena 53%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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